Abstract:
This study focuses on the immensely debated pre-instrumental centennial–millennial scaled forcing of the late Holocene hydroclimate variability in the Northwest Himalaya (NWH). The Wular Lake is ideally situated close to the modern intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) in the NWH and fed by the Jhelum River draining the vast Kashmir Valley, which receives seasonal precipitations from the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) and Western Disturbances (WD). In this study, size segregated lithic fractions (sand, silt, and clay) and elemental concentrations (TOC, TN, Ba, Al, Mn, and Fe) have been measured in the 14C-AMS dated NWC sediment core collected from this lake. The continuous NWC sedimentary records reveal temporal environmental changes (water level, organic detritus supply, and redox conditions) in this open mega-lake system suggesting prevailed hydroclimate variations in the valley during the late Holocene. The captured hydroclimate variations are a wetter phase (∼4.2–3.4 cal kyr BP) followed by relatively drier conditions and extreme drought before the wet Little Ice Age (LIA). The plausible forcing seems to be the latitudinal ITCZ migration regulated seasonal precipitations from the tropical/subtropical moisture sources. The ISM to WD moisture turnover dominated winter over summer precipitations in the valley during the former warm and wet phase but unequivocally reflected during the cold and wet LIA. Additional hydroclimate control comes from permafrost ice melting episodes of a few centuries duration during high solar activity events (sunspot number ≥50). A comparison with the regional studies further indicates that NWC records capture hydroclimate signatures widespread in the NWH.